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    Live Valuation Tool

    Bitcoin Rainbow Price Chart

    Is Bitcoin cheap or expensive right now? The Rainbow Chart uses logarithmic regression to show you where today's price sits in Bitcoin's long-term growth trajectory.

    Basically a Fire Sale
    BUY!
    Accumulate
    Still Cheap
    HODL!
    Is This a Bubble?
    FOMO Intensifies
    Sell. Seriously, SELL!
    Maximum Bubble Territory

    Rainbow Band Legend

    Maximum Bubble Territory
    $667,385 – $987,135
    3.5%
    Sell. Seriously, SELL!
    $451,208 – $667,385
    3.0%
    FOMO Intensifies
    $305,054 – $451,208
    4.5%
    Is This a Bubble?
    $206,242 – $305,054
    11.1%
    HODL!
    $139,437 – $206,242
    19.6%
    Still Cheap
    $94,271 – $139,437
    26.1%
    Accumulate
    $63,735 – $94,271
    30.2%
    BUY!
    $43,090 – $63,735
    2.0%
    Basically a Fire Sale
    $29,132 – $43,090
    0.0%

    Percentages show how much of Bitcoin's history the price spent in each band

    Bitcoin Rainbow Chart Band Meanings

    Band Meaning Typical use History
    Maximum Bubble Territory
    		 Extreme euphoric pricing versus the long-term curve. Reduce risk, avoid leverage, document assumptions. 3.5%
    Sell. Seriously, SELL!
    		 Historically overheated market conditions. Rebalance or take profits if allocation is too large. 3.0%
    FOMO Intensifies
    		 Momentum and attention are accelerating. Avoid emotional buys; compare with drawdown history. 4.5%
    Is This a Bubble?
    		 Above fair-value zone with rising bubble risk. Use smaller buys or wait for volatility. 11.1%
    HODL!
    		 Middle of the model range. Hold or DCA according to plan. 19.6%
    Still Cheap
    		 Below the model midpoint. Long-term accumulators often add gradually here. 26.1%
    Accumulate
    		 Historically attractive accumulation range. DCA, review cash reserves, avoid over-sizing. 30.2%
    BUY!
    		 Deep undervaluation by this model. High-conviction buyers may increase planned buys. 2.0%
    Basically a Fire Sale
    		 Rare capitulation-style pricing. Check market stress, custody risk, and liquidity first. 0.0%
    How It Works

    How to Read the Rainbow Chart

    1

    Understand the Bands

    The chart uses logarithmic regression to create 9 color-coded bands from blue ("Fire Sale") to dark red ("Maximum Bubble"), each representing a different valuation zone.

    2

    Find Your Position

    Look for the pulsing dot on the chart showing where Bitcoin's current price sits within the rainbow bands right now.

    3

    Read the Zone

    Each color band has a specific meaning: blue and green zones suggest undervaluation, yellow is fair value, and orange to red suggests overvaluation.

    4

    Take Action

    Use the zone-specific recommendations linked to our DCA, Investment, and Savings calculators to make informed decisions.

    Rainbow Chart V1 vs V2

    Early Rainbow Chart versions were fitted before Bitcoin had lived through later cycle shocks. V2-style bands widened the long-term regression context after events such as the 2021 peak and FTX-era drawdown showed that a simple historical curve can drift as market structure changes.

    Neither version is a guarantee. The useful part is the visual discipline: compare today's price with a long-term logarithmic range before making emotional decisions.

    Rainbow Chart vs Power Law

    The Rainbow Chart turns logarithmic regression into color zones. The Bitcoin Power Law Calculator focuses on the mathematical price corridor itself. Use both when you want a model-based view instead of a single target price.

    For risk context, pair this page with the Bitcoin Drawdown Calculator before assuming any band will hold.

    FAQ

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Disclaimer

    The Rainbow Chart is a logarithmic regression model for educational purposes only. It does not predict future prices. Past band accuracy does not guarantee future results. This is not financial advice.