Bitcoin Drawdown & Correction Calculator
Model any Bitcoin correction — 10%, 30%, 50% or worse — and see exactly what happens to your portfolio, plus every historical crash since 2010.
Live data sources didn't respond. Showing a bundled snapshot (as of Jun 1, 2026). Numbers may be slightly out of date.
-48.8%
Current Drawdown
ATH: $118,632
-92.2%
Worst Crash Ever
Across 12 major crashes
-51.1%
Average Drawdown
Of 20%+ corrections
289 days
Avg Recovery Time
~10 months
Data source: Local snapshot · as of Jun 1, 2026
Cycle-by-Cycle Comparison
How each Bitcoin bear market stacks up against the others
| Cycle | Peak | Peak Price | Trough | Max Drop | Months Down | Recovery | Trigger |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Jun 2011 | $32 | $2 | -93% | 5mo | 18mo | First bubble burst |
| 2013–14 | Dec 2013 | $1,163 | $170 | -85% | 14mo | 36mo | Mt. Gox collapse |
| 2017–18 | Dec 2017 | $19,783 | $3,200 | -84% | 12mo | 36mo | ICO bubble burst |
| 2021–22 | Nov 2021 | $69,000 | $15,500 | -77% | 13mo | 24mo | FTX / LUNA collapse |
| 2025–26 | Oct 6, 2025 | $126,287 | $80,523 | -36% | 7mo | Ongoing | Post-ETF macro deleveraging |
Crash Severity
Top 10 Bitcoin Crashes
All drawdowns greater than 20% from all-time highs since 2010
Data source: Local snapshot · as of Jun 1, 2026
Peak
$32
Trough
$2
To trough
160d
Recovery
472d
Peak
$1,242
Trough
$160
To trough
84d
Recovery
1118d
Peak
$19,871
Trough
$3,272
To trough
363d
Recovery
731d
Peak
$68,790
Trough
$16,542
To trough
417d
Recovery
438d
Peak
$1
Trough
$0
To trough
25d
Recovery
62d
Peak
$63,553
Trough
$32,293
To trough
92d
Recovery
118d
Peak
$118,632
Trough
$60,797
To trough
321d
Recovery
Ongoing
Peak
$140
Trough
$98
To trough
61d
Recovery
62d
Peak
$1
Trough
$1
To trough
45d
Recovery
14d
Peak
$4,925
Trough
$3,824
To trough
14d
Recovery
30d
| # | Peak | Trough | Peak Price | Trough Price | Drawdown | Days to Trough | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 2011 | Nov 2011 | $32 | $2 | −92.2% | 160d | 472d |
| 2 | Nov 2013 | Feb 2014 | $1,242 | $160 | −87.1% | 84d | 1118d |
| 3 | Dec 2017 | Dec 2018 | $19,871 | $3,272 | −83.5% | 363d | 731d |
| 4 | Nov 2021 | Jan 2023 | $68,790 | $16,542 | −76.0% | 417d | 438d |
| 5 | Nov 2010 | Dec 2010 | $1 | $0 | −54.0% | 25d | 62d |
| 6 | Apr 2021 | Jul 2021 | $63,553 | $32,293 | −49.2% | 92d | 118d |
| 7 | Jul 2025 | Jun 2026 | $118,632 | $60,797 | −48.8% | 321d | Ongoing |
| 8 | May 2013 | Jul 2013 | $140 | $98 | −29.9% | 61d | 62d |
| 9 | Feb 2011 | Apr 2011 | $1 | $1 | −25.9% | 45d | 14d |
| 10 | Sep 2017 | Sep 2017 | $4,925 | $3,824 | −22.4% | 14d | 30d |
Drawdown Depth Chart
Historical 20%+ Bitcoin drawdowns by severity
If You Bought at the All-Time High
ATH was $118,632 on July 15, 2025
BTC Bought
0.008429
Current Value
$512.48
Profit / Loss
-$487.52
Return
-48.8%
Bitcoin Correction Calculator — Model Any Percentage Drop
This Bitcoin correction calculator shows exactly what happens to your portfolio during a price drawdown. Enter a correction percentage — 20%, 30%, 50%, or any amount — to see the new price, your portfolio value, and how much Bitcoin would need to recover to return to today's level. Below the calculator you can see every major historical correction and how long each recovery took.
Correction Scenario Calculator
Model the impact of any price correction on your portfolio.
If Bitcoin drops 30% from $60,797:
New Price: $42,558
Portfolio Value
$42,558
down from $60,797
Dollar Loss
−$18,239
Recovery Needed
Bitcoin must rise 42.9% from the bottom to return to today's price
Historical Context
A 30%+ correction has happened 7 times in Bitcoin's history
Scenario Comparison Table
See what happens to 1.0000 BTC at every correction level, side by side. Active row: −30%.
| Correction | New Price | Portfolio | Loss | Recovery | Historically |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −10% | $54,717 | $54,717 | −$6,080 | +11.1% | 10× |
| −20% | $48,638 | $48,638 | −$12,159 | +25.0% | 10× |
| −30% | $42,558 | $42,558 | −$18,239 | +42.9% | 7× |
| −40% | $36,478 | $36,478 | −$24,319 | +66.7% | 7× |
| −50% | $30,399 | $30,399 | −$30,399 | +100.0% | 5× |
| −70% | $18,239 | $18,239 | −$42,558 | +233.3% | 4× |
| −80% | $12,159 | $12,159 | −$48,638 | +400.0% | 3× |
Click any row to load that scenario above.
Sponsored
Bitcoin Drawdown Calculator
Understand Bitcoin's historical crash behavior — how deep corrections get, how long they last, and how long recovery takes.
-
01
Understand the Key Metrics
Current drawdown from ATH, worst crash ever, average drawdown, and average recovery time — four core metrics.
-
02
Analyze the Top 10 Crashes
Review peak/trough dates, prices, drawdown percentages, days to trough, and recovery time, ranked by severity.
-
03
Visualize Crash Severity
The Drawdown Depth Chart shows each crash by severity: red (70%+), orange (50–70%), yellow (20–50%).
-
04
"Bought at ATH" Scenario
"What if I bought the exact top?" Enter any dollar amount and see today's value, profit or loss, and return.
How Many Times Has Bitcoin Dropped More Than 80%?
Four times. Bitcoin has fallen more than 80% from its all-time high on four separate occasions: 2011 (-93%), 2014 (-84%), 2018 (-83%), and 2022 (-77%). Each crash felt like the end. Each time, the price eventually broke past the previous peak and set a new record.
The 2011 crash remains the deepest. BTC dropped from $32 to roughly $2 in about five months. Most people who held through that period became early millionaires by 2017. The 2014 crash followed the Mt. Gox exchange collapse and took over two years to recover. In 2018, the ICO bubble burst and BTC fell from nearly $20,000 to $3,200. The 2022 drawdown started after the $69,000 peak and bottomed near $15,500 following the FTX implosion.
What makes these crashes notable isn't just the depth. It's that Bitcoin recovered every single time. No other asset in financial history has dropped 80%+ four times and come back stronger after each event. That pattern doesn't guarantee future recoveries, but it does set Bitcoin apart from stocks, commodities, and other cryptocurrencies that crashed and never returned.
All Bitcoin Crashes Over 50% Since 2011
| Year | Peak | Trough | Drop | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $32 | $2 | -93% | ~18 months |
| 2013 (Nis) | $266 | $54 | -80% | ~6 months |
| 2013 (Ara) | $1,163 | $170 | -85% | ~36 months |
| 2017–18 | $19,783 | $3,200 | -84% | ~36 months |
| 2021–22 | $69,000 | $15,500 | -77% | ~24 months |
| 2025–26 | $126,287 | $80,523 | -36% | Ongoing |
The table above covers every Bitcoin drawdown exceeding 50% from the prior all-time high. Smaller corrections of 20-40% happen far more frequently, often multiple times within a single bull cycle. Bitcoin experienced six separate 30%+ corrections during the 2017 bull run alone.
Bitcoin Recovery Times: How Long After Each Crash?
Recovery times vary wildly. The fastest recovery from a major crash took about 6 months (the April 2013 flash crash from $266 to $54). The slowest took roughly 3 years. Both the 2014 and 2018 bear markets needed approximately 36 months before Bitcoin reclaimed its previous all-time high.
Here's the pattern worth noting: recovery times haven't been getting shorter. The 2022 crash took around 24 months to recover, which is faster than 2014 or 2018 but still a significant period. If you bought at the $69,000 peak in November 2021, you waited until March 2024 to break even.
This is why dollar-cost averaging tends to outperform lump-sum buying at peaks. Spreading purchases across a drawdown period means your average cost basis drops significantly, and your breakeven point arrives much earlier than someone who went all-in at the top.
The 2025-2026 Drawdown in Historical Context
Bitcoin set a fresh all-time high of $126,287 on October 6, 2025 and pulled back to roughly $80,500 by May 2026 — a drawdown of about 36%. Compared to previous cycles this correction is relatively mild: the 2022 bear market saw a 77% decline and the 2018 crash reached 84%.
Several factors make this cycle structurally different. Spot Bitcoin ETFs now hold over $100 billion in assets, creating constant institutional demand. The April 2024 halving reduced daily new supply from 900 to 450 BTC. Corporate treasuries (MicroStrategy, Tesla, Block) continue accumulating.
Does that mean corrections will be shallower going forward? Not necessarily. But the floor seems to be rising each cycle. The 2022 bottom of $15,500 was higher than the 2017 peak of $19,783. If that pattern holds, future drawdowns may be less severe in percentage terms even as the dollar amounts grow larger. Track the current drawdown live using the Power Law model to see where BTC sits relative to fair value.
Frequently Asked Questions
Everything you need to know about Bitcoin crashes, recoveries, and drawdown analysis
Learn More
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Disclaimer
Past performance does not guarantee future results. This calculator uses historical CoinGecko data for educational purposes only. Bitcoin may not recover from future drawdowns. This is not financial advice.